Metaplanet bulls eye rebound after 7% BTC shock — can 3350.T recover?

Metaplanet stock slid 7% on a $679m non‑cash BTC impairment, highlighting its leveraged Bitcoin exposure even as it doubles down on a 100,000 BTC treasury goal.

Metaplanet’s high‑beta Bitcoin bet just delivered a brutal jolt to shareholders, wiping roughly 7% off the stock in a single session as the company booked a massive non‑cash impairment on its BTC treasury.​

Stock hit and impairment shock

Tokyo‑listed Metaplanet (3350.T) slid about 7% after the firm disclosed a Bitcoin‑linked impairment loss of approximately 679 million dollars tied to December’s sharp BTC volatility. The company stressed in its filing that this is a “non‑cash” charge and “does not directly affect its Bitcoin holdings or core operations,” a clarification that did little to stop the sell‑off. The move underscores how closely Metaplanet now trades as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy rather than a conventional Japanese small cap.​

From buyback euphoria to doubt

The reversal is striking given that Metaplanet’s shares had ripped more than 15% after management announced a 75 million yen share buyback, a move designed to signal confidence and tighten float. Back then, the company’s aggressive Bitcoin (BTC) strategy and buybacks were celebrated, but that momentum is “wavering” as investors reassess the risks of balance‑sheet exposure to an asset that can move double‑digits in days. Compounding the unease, Metaplanet has not reported any new Bitcoin purchases so far this year, despite shareholders having already approved additional BTC accumulation.​

Strategic reset and 100,000 BTC ambition

Operationally, the company is not retreating from its Bitcoin‑centric thesis; it is doubling down. Management recently highlighted a new partnership with Norges Bank Investment Management, described as “the world’s largest investment fund,” to backstop Metaplanet’s stock allocation and capital strategy as it pursues a long‑term goal of acquiring 100,000 BTC. For fiscal 2025, the firm raised its revenue forecast to 8.9 billion yen and increased its operating profit projection to 6.3 billion yen, saying it has “exceeded expectations” thanks to the steady expansion of its funding base.

In September, Metaplanet launched Metaplanet Income Corp in the United States to “boost its Bitcoin income generation business” and simultaneously acquired Bitcoin.jp to deepen its domestic footprint. The group frames these moves as building a global infrastructure around its Bitcoin treasury model rather than merely speculating on price swings.​

Market backdrop: crypto prices under pressure

Metaplanet’s impairment arrives against a softer crypto tape. Bitcoin is trading around 87,700 dollars, down roughly 1% over the last 24 hours, with a 24‑hour range near 86,000 to 88,800 dollars. Ethereum changes hands close to 2,916 dollars, slipping about 0.8% in the same period. Solana trades near 192 dollars, off roughly 1% over 24 hours, extending its drawdown from last year’s peak. In this environment, Metaplanet’s stock reaction is a blunt reminder: treasuries that shadow crypto will feel every whip‑saw of the underlying market.

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