Solana price loses major volume support as capitulation risk builds toward $117
Solana price broke below major volume support at the Point of Control, triggering bearish momentum and increasing capitulation risk toward $117 if the value area low fails to hold.
- SOL lost POC volume support, confirming weakness and lower value acceptance
- Market structure is shifting with lower lows and a developing lower-high setup
- Break below VAL support opens downside continuation toward $117
Solana (SOL) price is showing a sharp shift in momentum after an impulsive bearish move broke a major volume-based support level below. A strong bearish engulfing candle has now pushed the price beneath the point of control (POC), which typically represents fair value and acts as a stabilizing pivot in a market structure.
When the POC breaks, it often signals that the market is accepting lower prices and shifting into a weaker auction phase.
Solana price key technical points
- SOL broke below the point of control (POC), confirming loss of major volume support
- Market structure is weakening with lower lows and a developing lower-high setup
- A breakdown below the value area low increases capitulation risk toward $117.
The point of control is the level where the most volume has traded and often acts as the market’s “balance point.” When price holds above the POC, it typically supports bullish continuation and stabilization. When the price falls below it and fails to reclaim it quickly, it signals that the value is shifting lower.
Solana breaking below the POC is a major warning sign, as it suggests the market is no longer comfortable trading at a higher level. Instead, it is beginning to accept lower pricing. This shift is one of the strongest early indicators that a deeper corrective move can follow, especially if bullish participants fail to defend the breakdown zone.
If Solana remains below the POC on a closing basis, the probability increases that the bearish move is not just a temporary shakeout, but the start of a larger downside rotation.
Market structure weakness: lower lows begin to form
With the POC now lost, Solana’s price action is beginning to reflect a bearish transition. The market has started printing lower lows, and the next likely behavior is the formation of a lower high, potentially around the value area low.
This matters because market structure shifts are often defined by these patterns. Once price transitions from higher highs and higher lows into lower highs and lower lows, the probability favors continuation lower until a strong reversal signal appears. Solana’s recent breakdown suggests the prior uptrend has been negated, and bearish structure is now becoming dominant.
If Solana cannot reclaim broken support levels and instead continues printing lower highs, this confirms that sellers are controlling the structure and that the market is rotating deeper into bearish continuation.
Capitulation risk builds toward $117
If VAL breaks and bearish momentum continues, the next major downside objective becomes $117, which is a high-time-frame support zone that has not been tested since December. In many corrective structures, when a major support level fails, price accelerates quickly as liquidity is taken and sellers push into deeper demand zones.
The term “capitulation” is used when price moves sharply into a lower support level due to increased selling pressure, stop-loss triggers, and a rapid shift in sentiment. Solana’s current structure suggests that this risk is increasing, especially if the market continues losing key support levels without recovery.
A move toward $117 would represent a full downside rotation into a deeper demand zone and would likely act as the next major area where buyers attempt to stabilize price.
What to expect in the coming price action
Solana has shifted bearish after breaking below the Point of Control, confirming loss of major volume support and weakening the recovery structure that had formed over recent weeks. Price is now vulnerable to further downside, and the value area low remains the key support level that must hold to prevent acceleration.
If SOL fails to reclaim the POC and breaks below VAL, capitulation risk grows significantly, with $117 becoming the next major downside target. A recovery scenario would require Solana to reclaim the POC with strong acceptance and volume, signaling that the breakdown was a temporary liquidity sweep rather than structural failure.
