XRP price prediction: Is the looming “death cross” signal setting up a $1.50 test?

The technical picture of XRP is sharpening into a classic bearish setup, a warning sign that traders closely following technical analysis are monitoring. The 200-day SMA on the daily chart is being approached by the 50-day SMA, and in some feeds, it has already crossed below it. This configuration, known as a death cross, often signals potential sustained weakness. 

The crossing is happening as momentum indicators soften, raising the possibility that short-term sellers may intensify their pressure until the market finds a clear support response. The 50/200 relationship is tightening, and the 50-day slope is turning downward, supporting the view that the path of least resistance remains to the downside unless a strong reversal emerges.

XRP price info

As of this writing, XRP is trading in the low $2s after falling several percent on the day and significantly more throughout the week. According to major coin aggregators, the market cap is in the low to mid hundreds of billions, and traders are repositioning, resulting in higher 24-hour volumes.

Recent price volatility within a small $2.15–$2.30 range has made altcoins more susceptible to intra-market rotation due to general market weakness, which is mostly driven by flows relating to Bitcoin and ETFs.

On-chain data also reinforces a cautious tone: active addresses and user engagement metrics have dropped from mid-year peaks, while analytics firms note muted whale activity and increased selling pressure from longer-term investors.

This combination of softer participation and cross-asset weakness provides context for XRP’s current struggles and underpins a short-term XRP price prediction that leans bearish unless new catalysts emerge.

Bull case for XRP price

For bullish traders, defending the $2.10–$2.20 zone is essential to shift sentiment. A sustained move above $2.35–$2.40 could open short-term targets near $2.60, reducing the likelihood of an extended correction. Macro or narrative-driven catalysts, such as renewed inflows into XRP-related products, positive regulatory news, or revived remittance demand — could add momentum.

However, absent such drivers, any bounce is likely to remain vulnerable to renewed BTC strength and thin liquidity. This would temporarily lift the XRP (XRP) outlook, but structural weakness would likely persist until volume expansion confirms real demand.

Downside risks to XRP

The market may retest structurally significant levels between about $1.80 and $1.50 as stop liquidity is sought after and risk-off flows increase if the death cross is confirmed and momentum keeps declining.

Weak on-chain participation would restrict the magnitude and longevity of any comeback, while ongoing ETF withdrawals from significant spot products, growing BTC dominance, or a new wave of long-holder selling would further the decline.  In shorter timescales, legal or macro ambiguity would exacerbate liquidity and further erode conviction.

XRP price prediction based on current levels

While trading below $2.30, short-term momentum and moving averages imply a bearish bias. The key range remains $2.10–$2.40; a breakdown under $2.10 could expose $1.80–$1.50, while a rebound above $2.40 would target $2.60. For now, the XRP forecast stays bearish unless clear strength in volume and participation signals a trend reversal.