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XRP price prediction: 3 signs XRP may drop below $3

Conor Maloney
Edited by
Predictions
XRP price prediction: 3 signs XRP may drop below $3

Hey, want the latest on XRP? Fair warning — it might not be the best news.

Ripple is barely clinging to the $3 mark as of August 18, 2025, and it’s looking like it might dip below again. It last fell under $3 just over a week ago on August 6, and now it’s right back on the edge.

The recent price action feels like a battle of wills — on one side, you’ve got the bulls riding high on the good vibes from Ripple’s legal wins, and on the other, the bears are cashing in their profits, and whales are offloading big chunks of XRP.

Summary
  • XRP is struggling near the crucial $3 support level, with recent dips below this mark raising concerns about further declines.
  • Technical indicators show the 20-day EMA at $3.11 as the first support, followed by the 50-day EMA near $2.92; breaking these could lead to deeper losses.
  • Longer-term EMAs (100-day and 200-day) suggest a gradual downward trend, with potential targets around $2.70 and $2.43.
  • On-chain data reveals waning buying interest and significant whale sell-offs, tightening liquidity and increasing the risk of accelerated price drops.

Current XRP price scenario

To kick things off, profit-taking has ramped up, with many traders cashing out after XRP’s recent surge. That’s led to a wave of selling pressure — especially with whales unloading around $1.9 billion worth of tokens. That kind of volume puts serious downward pressure on price.

In addition to the selling pressure, the overall cryptocurrency market has recently experienced a period of heightened volatility and decline. XRP, which is notably sensitive to shifts in market sentiment, has been adversely affected as a result. The $3 support level remains a key focus for traders and analysts. A sustained drop below this threshold could signal further downside risk, potentially driving XRP toward lower support levels.

Key signs XRP price may crash below $3

We’re taking a closer look at the signs pointing to a possible shift toward bearish momentum in the near future.

Sign 1

On the daily chart, Ripple (XRP) is hovering near its recent lows, with the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sitting around $3.07. Right now, that EMA is acting as the first line of support. If XRP breaks below it with conviction, it could signal that the short-term bullish momentum is fading — and possibly trigger a fresh wave of selling.

XRP price prediction: 3 signs XRP may drop below $3 - 1
XRP’s price chart | Source: crypto.news

If that support fails, the next important level to keep an eye on is the 50-day EMA around $2.92, which could be the next key test for price stability.

Sign 2

Zooming out a bit, the 100-day EMA sits near $2.7, and the 200-day EMA is close to $2.43. Both point to a gentle downward slide. So, if XRP can’t hold up here, it might keep drifting down toward those spots.

Sign 3

On-chain data shows buying interest is fading, and whales have been selling off large amounts of XRP. As these big holders keep unloading tokens, liquidity tightens — and if big investors lose confidence, the sell-off could speed up.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.