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The CFTC has warned regulated prediction markets against displaying American-style gambling odds as state authorities intensify efforts to classify sports event contracts as unlicensed betting. CFTC warns prediction markets over odds displays The Commodity Futures Trading Commission instructed regulated prediction…
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CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said regulators must give financial innovation room to lead as the global derivatives market enters a new phase of development. Selig rejects restrictive derivatives rules Writing in The Economist, Selig argued that regulators should avoid importing…
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George Santos has settled CFTC case over Kalshi prediction market trades by accepting penalties and a three-year trading ban after regulators found he made misleading public statements while betting on his attendance at President Donald Trump’s State of the Union…
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New York filed the most aggressive state action against the prediction market industry two days after the Second Circuit denied Kalshi emergency relief on July 29. The suit arrived with a coordinated announcement from the AG and the Governor, counts…
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The state is seeking at least $36 billion in damages from the prediction market platform it calls an unlicensed gambling operation, and has filed for a temporary restraining order to halt its contracts immediately. The lawsuit that prediction markets knew…
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A federal judge has rejected the CFTC’s request to stop Wisconsin from enforcing state gambling laws against federally regulated prediction market platforms. Wisconsin court rejects CFTC injunction Judge William Griesbach of the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of…
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44 state attorneys general have urged the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to withdraw and rewrite its proposed prediction market rule, arguing that it exceeds the agency’s authority and intrudes into an area traditionally regulated by states. According to a…
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Order book, pooled liquidity, or hybrid: the label covers three designs with different counterparties. The mechanics and the risk waterfall.
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The National Football League has urged the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to tighten its proposed prediction market rules, arguing that stronger safeguards are needed to protect game integrity and consumers. According to The Closing Line, which obtained a July…
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Kalshi lost an injunction-pending-appeal bid in New York, while its separate emergency motion before the Second Circuit remains unresolved.
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Kalshi and Polymarket US won an injunction blocking Minnesota’s prediction market ban while three federal cases move toward final rulings.
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The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has asked a federal court to expedite its ruling against Minnesota before the state’s prediction-market ban takes effect on Aug. 1. CFTC presses court as Aug. 1 deadline approaches The CFTC requested expedited handling…
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Hyperliquid Policy Center and Multicoin back CFTC prediction-market rules, seeking federal oversight and public reason for contract reviews.
HYPE
Hyperliquid
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Designated contract markets explained: the CFTC exchange license, 23 core principles, the three-registration stack, and why firms buy them.
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Prices are well calibrated and predictably wrong in five ways: longshot bias, capital lock-up, thin books, fees, and resolution risk.
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Exchanges list prediction markets by filing a form, not asking permission. The Rule 40.11 trapdoor and the CFTC's June 2026 rulemaking, explained.
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