Chainlink price risks sharp drop to $11 as symmetrical triangle support gives way

Nov 3, 2025 at 9:21 AM UTC

Edited by Dorian Batycka

Markets

Chainlink price is testing a critical support level as bearish technical signals emerge, raising the risk of a breakdown toward the $11 zone.

Summary

Chainlink price has wicked below its ascending trendline support within a symmetrical triangle, hinting at potential downside if price closes below $16.50.
The BBWP volatility indicator has crossed above its moving average, signaling an impending major move that currently favors the bears.
Despite the technical weakness, fundamentals remain supportive with Chainlink powering Circle’s Arc layer-2 network and optimism building around Grayscale’s proposed GLNK spot ETF.

Chainlink price technical analysis

Chainlink (LINK) price has just wicked below the ascending trendline support, which marks the lower boundary of a symmetrical triangle that has contained price action since the October 10 flash crash to $15. Symmetrical triangles indicate market indecision, as they reflect a battle between bulls (lower highs) and bears (higher lows), meaning the price can break out in either direction.

The BBWP (Bollinger Band Width Percentage) indicator — which tracks volatility expansion and contraction — has just seen its volatility line cross above the moving average from an extreme low zone. This crossover often precedes a major move and given that LIINK has wicked below the triangle’s support trendline, the setup currently leans bearish.

If confirmed with a daily candle close below $16.50, Chainlink price could risk a measured move decline toward $11.30, derived from the triangle’s maximum height of $5.20 (subtracted from the breakdown level at $16.50).

Chainlink price risks sharp drop to $11 as symmetrical triangle support gives way - 2 — Chainlink price 1D chart | Source: TradingView

The bearish technical setup for Chainlink price contrasts sharply with a backdrop of strengthening fundamentals.

Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, has recently launched the testnet of Arc, its stablecoin-focused layer-2 network. Chainlink will be one of the technology providers for the network, providing its developers with oracle solutions.

Additionally, Grayscale’s September filing to convert its existing Chainlink Trust into a spot ETF — potentially trading under the ticker GLNK — could act as a medium-term catalyst, attracting speculative capital and reinforcing bullish sentiment if the ETF application advances through the SEC review process.