Polkadot price forms a rare pattern, 76% jump possible

Polkadot price may be preparing for a major bullish breakout as a rare pattern that has been forming since August nears its completion.

Polkadot (DOT), a top layer-1 network, was trading at $4.30 on Friday, Nov. 8 after rising for four consecutive days. It has jumped by 18% from its lowest point this year month, meaning that it is approaching a bull market. 

Crypto analysts are bullish on Polkadot despite of its weak fundamentals. One of the main themes has been a falling wedge pattern that has been forming since Aug. 1. In an X post, a crypto analyst known as Globe of Crypto, estimated that the coin could jump to between $9 and $10 when the break out happens. If this happens, it will see DOT token more than double.

A potential catalyst for the Polkadot price is the new connection of the network to other chains like Ethereum, Optimism, Arbitrum, Base, and Binance Smart Chain. This connection, which has been enabled by Hyperbridge, means that users can move assets across these chains without relying on middlemen. 

Meanwhile, there are signs that open interest in the futures market is picking up momentum. DOT’s open interest rose to over $269 million, its highest level since June 17. It has had a strong comeback after bottoming at $179 million in September. 

Still, the biggest challenge for Polkadot is that it has not gained a lot of traction among developers. Its ecosystem growth has been relatively weak such that it has been passed by other newer networks like Base and Sui.

Polkadot price analysis

The daily chart shows that the DOT price has been in a tight range in the past few months. In this period, it has constantly remained below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages.

On the positive side, it has formed a falling wedge pattern, which is now nearing the confluence level. Such a move, especially at a time when oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic have pointed upwards, is a sign that the coin will soon have a bullish breakout. 

If this happens, Polkadot price may jump to $7.77, its highest swing since May 27 and the 50% Fibonacci Retracement point. If this happens, the token will jump by 76.50% from the current level. This view will become invalid if it moves below this month’s low at $3.66.