Prediction News
Market predictions drive investment strategies, and prediction news covers expert forecasts, AI-driven analysis, and trend projections in crypto. Whether it’s price movements, market cycles, or regulatory shifts, staying ahead of predictions helps traders and investors navigate volatility and plan their next moves.
Latest Prediction News
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Everyone covering the prediction market legal war has been watching states. The more dangerous case is being argued in the Ninth Circuit by three California tribes under a different statute entirely, and at oral argument this month a judge told…
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In eighteen months, the prediction market industry has assembled the surveillance apparatus that took stock exchanges decades: named detection engines, encrypted prohibited-person lists, league partnerships, forensic academics, and employment disclosure for high-risk traders. Here is the architecture, who is building…
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Pennsylvania lawmakers have introduced a bipartisan bill that has proposed insider-trading rules for prediction markets while preventing sportsbooks and other gambling companies from supplying liquidity or acting as market makers for those platforms. The proposal, House Bill 2711, was introduced…
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Fanatics agreed to buy BGC’s regulated exchange and clearinghouse, giving it direct control of its prediction market infrastructure.
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The National Football League has urged the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to tighten its proposed prediction market rules, arguing that stronger safeguards are needed to protect game integrity and consumers. According to The Closing Line, which obtained a July…
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Hyperliquid Policy Center and Multicoin back CFTC prediction-market rules, seeking federal oversight and public reason for contract reviews.
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For a year Robinhood was Kalshi’s largest distributor. Then it bought a CFTC-licensed exchange off the shelf, put Susquehanna behind the order book, and began routing its own flow to itself. The World Cup was the proving ground, the migration…
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Designated contract markets explained: the CFTC exchange license, 23 core principles, the three-registration stack, and why firms buy them.
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Prices are well calibrated and predictably wrong in five ways: longshot bias, capital lock-up, thin books, fees, and resolution risk.
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Exchanges list prediction markets by filing a form, not asking permission. The Rule 40.11 trapdoor and the CFTC's June 2026 rulemaking, explained.
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CFTC warns prediction markets again against broad self-certifications as its July 27 deadline for proposed event-contract rules nears.
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Robinhood is reportedly in talks to add Crypto.com event contracts as prediction markets grow amid federal-state legal disputes in the U.S.
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The New York Stock Exchange’s parent just completed a $2 billion bet on Polymarket. Kalshi raised a billion at $22 billion while generating fee revenue most exchanges would envy. Seven bills in Congress want the whole category banned. Wall Street…
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Coinbase has replaced or reassigned four senior leaders after cutting 14% of its workforce, as the exchange builds a platform spanning crypto, stocks, derivatives and prediction markets. A Coinbase regulatory filing states that Chief People Officer Lawrence Brock will leave…
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Twelve states, criminal charges, tribes at the Ninth Circuit, and the CFTC suing states. Inside the federalism war over prediction markets.
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Washington judge blocks Kalshi sports event contracts, ruling state gambling laws apply despite the platform’s federal CFTC registration.