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Prediction News

Market predictions drive investment strategies, and prediction news covers expert forecasts, AI-driven analysis, and trend projections in crypto. Whether it’s price movements, market cycles, or regulatory shifts, staying ahead of predictions helps traders and investors navigate volatility and plan their next moves.

Latest Prediction News

The third sovereign: Tribes take on prediction markets - 2
Feature
Read more - The third sovereign: Tribes take on prediction markets

The third sovereign: Tribes take on prediction markets

Everyone covering the prediction market legal war has been watching states. The more dangerous case is being argued in the Ninth Circuit by three California tribes under a different statute entirely, and at oral argument this month a judge told…
The integrity build: Inside prediction markets' new police - 3
Feature
Read more - The integrity build: Inside prediction markets’ new police

The integrity build: Inside prediction markets’ new police

In eighteen months, the prediction market industry has assembled the surveillance apparatus that took stock exchanges decades: named detection engines, encrypted prohibited-person lists, league partnerships, forensic academics, and employment disclosure for high-risk traders. Here is the architecture, who is building…
Pennsylvania prediction markets bill could block sportsbooks from market making - 4
News
Read more - Pennsylvania prediction markets bill could block sportsbooks from market making

Pennsylvania prediction markets bill could block sportsbooks from market making

Pennsylvania lawmakers have introduced a bipartisan bill that has proposed insider-trading rules for prediction markets while preventing sportsbooks and other gambling companies from supplying liquidity or acting as market makers for those platforms. The proposal, House Bill 2711, was introduced…
Fanatics to acquire BGC prediction market exchange
News
Read more - Fanatics to acquire BGC prediction market exchange

Fanatics to acquire BGC prediction market exchange

Fanatics agreed to buy BGC’s regulated exchange and clearinghouse, giving it direct control of its prediction market infrastructure.
NFL asks CFTC to curb high risk sports prediction contracts - 5
News
Read more - NFL asks CFTC to curb high risk sports prediction contracts

NFL asks CFTC to curb high risk sports prediction contracts

The National Football League has urged the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to tighten its proposed prediction market rules, arguing that stronger safeguards are needed to protect game integrity and consumers. According to The Closing Line, which obtained a July…
Hyperliquid, Multicoin back CFTC prediction market rules
News
Read more - Hyperliquid, Multicoin back CFTC prediction market rules

Hyperliquid, Multicoin back CFTC prediction market rules

Hyperliquid Policy Center and Multicoin back CFTC prediction-market rules, seeking federal oversight and public reason for contract reviews.
Hyperliquid HYPE Hyperliquid
Robinhood bought a license. Kalshi had built a business - 6
Feature
Read more - Robinhood bought a license. Kalshi had built a business

Robinhood bought a license. Kalshi had built a business

For a year Robinhood was Kalshi’s largest distributor. Then it bought a CFTC-licensed exchange off the shelf, put Susquehanna behind the order book, and began routing its own flow to itself. The World Cup was the proving ground, the migration…
What is a DCM? The license behind prediction markets
Learn
Read more - What is a DCM? The license behind prediction markets

What is a DCM? The license behind prediction markets

Designated contract markets explained: the CFTC exchange license, 23 core principles, the three-registration stack, and why firms buy them.
Do prediction market odds equal probability? Not quite
Learn
Read more - Do prediction market odds equal probability? Not quite

Do prediction market odds equal probability? Not quite

Prices are well calibrated and predictably wrong in five ways: longshot bias, capital lock-up, thin books, fees, and resolution risk.
How event contracts get listed: Self-certification
Learn
Read more - How event contracts get listed: Self-certification

How event contracts get listed: Self-certification

Exchanges list prediction markets by filing a form, not asking permission. The Rule 40.11 trapdoor and the CFTC's June 2026 rulemaking, explained.
CFTC warns prediction markets again over template self-certifications
News
Read more - CFTC warns prediction markets again over template self-certifications

CFTC warns prediction markets again over template self-certifications

CFTC warns prediction markets again against broad self-certifications as its July 27 deadline for proposed event-contract rules nears.
Robinhood eyes Crypto.com deal as prediction market race heats up
News
Read more - Robinhood eyes Crypto.com deal as prediction market race heats up

Robinhood eyes Crypto.com deal as prediction market race heats up

Robinhood is reportedly in talks to add Crypto.com event contracts as prediction markets grow amid federal-state legal disputes in the U.S.
The exchanges bought the bookies. Now comes the data war - 7
Feature
Read more - The exchanges bought the bookies. Now comes the data war

The exchanges bought the bookies. Now comes the data war

The New York Stock Exchange’s parent just completed a $2 billion bet on Polymarket. Kalshi raised a billion at $22 billion while generating fee revenue most exchanges would envy. Seven bills in Congress want the whole category banned. Wall Street…
Coinbase reshuffles top ranks amid push into stocks and predictions - 8
News
Read more - Coinbase reshuffles top ranks amid push into stocks and predictions

Coinbase reshuffles top ranks amid push into stocks and predictions

Coinbase has replaced or reassigned four senior leaders after cutting 14% of its workforce, as the exchange builds a platform spanning crypto, stocks, derivatives and prediction markets. A Coinbase regulatory filing states that Chief People Officer Lawrence Brock will leave…
Kalshi and Polymarket are fighting a 50-state war
Feature
Read more - Kalshi and Polymarket are fighting a 50-state war

Kalshi and Polymarket are fighting a 50-state war

Twelve states, criminal charges, tribes at the Ninth Circuit, and the CFTC suing states. Inside the federalism war over prediction markets.
Kalshi sports prediction markets blocked in Washington court ruling
News
Read more - Kalshi sports prediction markets blocked in Washington court ruling

Kalshi sports prediction markets blocked in Washington court ruling

Washington judge blocks Kalshi sports event contracts, ruling state gambling laws apply despite the platform’s federal CFTC registration.