Latest Prediction News

Kalshi denies prediction markets are gambling products

Prediction markets closed out Consensus Miami 2026 as the subject of a live debate on whether they are regulated financial derivatives or gambling products operating outside state law. Prediction markets closed out Consensus Miami 2026 on Thursday as the subject…

2 days ago

Prediction markets enter institutional era after first Kalshi block trade

Bernstein says prediction markets are drawing institutions after Kalshi’s first block trade, with custom contracts and retail volume rising.

4 days ago

Hyperliquid’s $6m HIP-4 debut sparks HYPE rally, what’s next?

Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 event contracts opened with $6.05m volume as HYPE held near $41.64, with traders watching $44 resistance for a break now

HYPE Hyperliquid

5 days ago

Coinbase urges CFTC to keep prediction markets under rules

Coinbase has urged U.S. derivatives regulators to keep prediction markets under existing rules, filing a formal response as legal pressure builds around event-based contracts. According to a letter submitted to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and addressed to Secretary Christopher…

5 days ago

CFTC prediction market rules spark industry debate

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has received more than 1,500 public responses on its proposed rule for prediction market event contracts. According to the CFTC, the comment period for its March proposal closed Thursday after drawing submissions from prediction…

5 days ago

A16z enters CFTC battle over state prediction market bans

A16z backs the CFTC against state bans on prediction markets as Congress limits lawmakers’ trades and Kalshi, Polymarket face more scrutiny.

6 days ago

Senate unanimously bans senators and staff from trading on prediction markets

The US Senate voted unanimously to bar all senators and their staff from placing bets on political prediction market platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi, with the resolution authored by Republican Senator Bernie Moreno, who also set the end-of-May CLARITY Act…

1 week ago

XRP to $10,000? Ripple CTO emeritus rejects bold claim

David Schwartz rejects $10,000 XRP claims and denies hidden government deal theories as old XRP comments resurface.

XRP XRP

1 week ago

U.S. Senate votes to ban members from using prediction markets

The U.S. Senate has approved a resolution banning senators and Senate staff from using prediction markets. According to Senate proceedings, the resolution passed by unanimous consent on Thursday changed the chamber’s standing rules and took immediate effect. Lawmakers tied the…

1 week ago

Polymarket eyes CFTC approval to reopen main platform to U.S. users

Polymarket has sought to reopen its main prediction markets platform to U.S. users as it is reportedly engaging regulators to remove a long-standing access ban. According to Bloomberg, the company has been in discussions with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission…

1 week ago

Peter Brandt says $250K Bitcoin target looks unlikely in 2026

Peter Brandt says Bitcoin’s $250K target looks unlikely in 2026 as BTC trades inside a rising channel with mixed market signals.

BTC Bitcoin

2 weeks ago

Polymarket’s “smart money” is just 3% of users, study finds

A study says only 3.14% of Polymarket accounts drive price discovery, while unskilled traders absorb the platform’s losses.

2 weeks ago

CFTC sues New York as prediction market fight escalates

The CFTC sued New York to block state gambling laws from applying to federally regulated prediction market platforms.

2 weeks ago

Wisconsin sues Kalshi, Coinbase, Polymarket, calls prediction markets illegal bets

Wisconsin has escalated its challenge against prediction market platforms, widening a legal fight already taking shape across several U.S. states over how these products should be classified. Fresh complaints filed in Dane County name Crypto.com and its derivatives arm, Polymarket,…

Apr 24, 2026 at 10:13 AM UTC