XRP price prediction after the $1 break. Is $0.80 back in play?
XRP has fallen below $1 and traded near $0.95 after touching approximately $0.89, leaving the token down more than 18% over seven days as buyers attempt a recovery against heavy leveraged losses, withdrawals from US spot funds and a daily chart that remains deeply oversold despite Ripple’s recent expansion in banking, stablecoins and institutional financial services.
- XRP traded near $0.9464 on November 15 after reaching a 24-hour low around $0.8942, putting the first recovery test at $0.99 – $1 while the weekly loss remained above 18% despite the rebound.
- Gate’s completed daily candles put XRP’s 14-period RSI near 16.1 and its 20-day EMA near $1.15, showing the scale of recent selling while leaving considerable distance between a short rebound and a recovery of the prevailing trend.
- CoinGlass recorded approximately $47.3 million in XRP liquidations over 24 hours, with longs accounting for around 91%, while open interest stood near $1.98 billion and the displayed funding rate was slightly negative.
- The XRPSONAR tracker showed approximately $19.13 million in net withdrawals from US spot XRP funds during the week ended November 13, removing a source of demand as XRP approached and subsequently lost the dollar level.
- A sustained recovery above $1 would put $1.05 and $1.10 back on the watchlist, while failure to defend approximately 0.89–0.90 would keep a deeper decline toward analyst Ali Charts’ $0.80 scenario in view.
XRP traded at approximately $0.94645 on November 15, according to the crypto.news XRP price page, down 3.64% over 24 hours and 18.47% over seven days. The reference snapshot showed a 24-hour range of 0.89421–0.99736 and reported trading volume near $3.55 billion.
The token had recovered about 5.8% from that low, but the bounce had not regained $1 or the $0.99 level identified by analyst Ali Charts before the latest decline. ETF withdrawals and forced closures of bullish derivatives positions have accompanied the weakness, while Ripple’s business announcements have yet to stop selling in the token.
For the coming trading week through November 20, the immediate outlook is a struggle to stabilize between roughly $0.89 and $1. A sustained recovery above the upper boundary would support attempts at 1.05–1.10; losing the lower boundary would leave $0.85 as an intermediate round-number reference and $0.80 as the deeper bearish scenario.
XRP’s first recovery test is $0.99 – $1
The dollar level has become a recovery hurdle after acting as a downside reference during the earlier decline. From the November 15 snapshot, XRP would need approximately 4.6% to reach $0.99 and 5.7% to return to $1.
The distance is small compared with the loss already sustained during the week, but recovering the quotation briefly would provide less evidence than holding above it. Sellers who watched support fail can return when the price revisits the same area, while buyers need continued demand to absorb their offers.
Ali Charts outlined the risk in his November 13 channel assessment. His three-day chart showed XRP returning toward the channel’s lower boundary near $0.99 after failing to break resistance at $1.55.
“Now, $0.99 must hold,” he wrote in the X post, placing $0.80 on the downside if that support failed.
XRP has subsequently traded below the level he identified. The remaining question is whether buyers can recover it or whether the break becomes part of a longer decline; the $0.80 scenario has become relevant without becoming an inevitable destination.
| Outlook through November 20 | Price area | Development needed |
| Stabilization without reversal | Approximately 0.89–1 | Buyers defend the recent low, but rebounds continue to meet selling near the former support area. |
| Stronger recovery | $1.05, followed by 1.10–1.13 | XRP sustains a return above 0.99–1 and begins recovering the areas lost earlier in the decline. |
| Further breakdown | $0.85, then a possible $0.80 | The 0.89–0.90 area fails and selling extends beneath the recent low. |
The $0.85 reference is a round-number stage between the latest low and Ali’s deeper target, rather than a claim that a substantial pool of buying has already been observed there. The recent low is the more immediate level supported by the retrieved price record.
A move to $0.80 would represent another decline of approximately 15.5% from the reference price. A return to $1.10 would require a gain of roughly 16.2%, placing the competing scenarios at similar percentage distances while leaving their triggers quite different.
The first can develop through another failure of support. The second requires XRP to recover several lost levels while the larger daily trend remains weak.
Oversold daily readings have not reversed the trend
Calculations from Gate’s XRP/USDT market, using completed UTC candles through November 14, put the daily 14-period Relative Strength Index near 16.1. The conventional oversold threshold is 30, so the reading captures unusually persistent losses rather than a mild correction.
The last completed daily candle closed at $0.9138, down approximately 9.6% from its opening price. Its low was $0.8929, slightly different from the $0.8942 aggregate low because the exchange and the market-wide feed cover different trades.
The daily 20-period exponential moving average stood near $1.1497 and the 50-period average near $1.2499. Both remained substantially above the latest close, with the shorter average below the longer one.
The 14-day average true range was approximately $0.0612, using Wilder’s smoothing of completed daily ranges and gaps. Against a price near $0.95, that is a substantial amount of daily movement, helping explain why a rebound of several cents can occur before the larger trend changes.
Average true range measures the size of recent moves, not their direction. It offers context for the distances between support and resistance, while supplying neither a forecast that XRP will move exactly six cents nor a probability that a particular target will be reached.
The gap explains why XRP can rebound sharply while remaining in a downtrend. Even a move to $1.10 would leave it below the calculated 20-day average, although the average itself will change as new sessions are completed.
The earlier November 11 market assessment had XRP near $1.06 and already oversold. The reference price has fallen approximately 10.7% from that quotation, demonstrating how selling can continue after momentum indicators first enter stretched territory.
The four-hour chart provides a closer view of the rebound. Gate’s last completed candle, covering 04:00–08:00 UTC on November 15, closed near $0.9477, while the preceding completed candle had closed near $0.9673.
Its 20-period volume-weighted moving average was approximately $0.9945. Unlike a simple average, that calculation gives more influence to candles with higher trading volume, placing another recovery reference close to the 0.99–1 area.
The four-hour MACD remained negative, with its line near minus $0.0350 and signal near minus $0.0318. Its histogram was also negative, leaving the latest completed data without a bullish crossover to accompany the bounce.
The two timeframes therefore describe different parts of the same problem. The daily chart shows an extended decline, while the four-hour chart shows that the first recovery has yet to hold above nearby resistance.
For the bullish scenario to improve, higher price closes would need to follow the initial rebound. An oversold reading can make a recovery plausible without supplying the buying required to carry it through $1.
Forced selling has removed bullish positions
CoinGlass’s November 15 derivatives snapshot showed approximately $47.32 million in XRP liquidations over 24 hours, with longs accounting for about 91%. Open interest stood near $1.98 billion, while the displayed aggregate funding rate was slightly negative at approximately minus 0.0020%.
Liquidations close positions when collateral can no longer support them under an exchange’s margin rules. The dominance of long liquidations shows that traders positioned for higher prices bore most of the forced closures in the reported period.
Forced closures can deepen a decline as exchanges close exposed positions. Once those positions have been removed, however, the next price move depends on the orders and remaining exposure still in the market, rather than on the liquidation total alone.
The present funding snapshot also differs from the conditions discussed earlier in the week. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost’s November 10 assessment had identified elevated rolling funding on Binance while XRP was already correcting.
The two measures cover different venues and time windows: a rolling Binance figure from November 10 and a live aggregate rate retrieved on November 15. They should not be treated as one continuous reading, but together they show why an earlier description of strongly bullish positioning needs updating after the selloff.
Negative funding generally means shorts are paying longs in the contracts covered by that rate. It can make short positions more expensive to maintain, while offering no guarantee that traders will close them or that the spot price will rise.
The distinction between a short-covering rally and new spot buying matters around $1. Closing a bearish position can lift prices quickly, but continued gains require buyers willing to transact after the forced or defensive buying has finished.
Open interest measures outstanding derivatives exposure rather than money invested permanently in XRP. A change can involve position closures, new contracts and changes in the dollar value of existing positions as the token price moves.
The most useful confirmation would therefore involve price, positioning and spot trading moving together. Recovering $1 while liquidation pressure subsides would describe an improvement; recovering it only briefly before renewed heavy long closures would leave the market vulnerable.
The recent liquidation bill explains part of the pressure faced by traders. It does not remove the need for actual demand at the levels buyers are trying to regain.
The completed spot candles provide another view of participation. Gate recorded approximately 67.12 million USDT of XRP turnover on November 14, roughly 38.2% above the preceding 20-session average near 48.56 million USDT, while price fell sharply during the session.
Higher turnover accompanied a close near the lower part of the daily range, rather than a sustained recovery. The latest completed four-hour candle then recorded approximately 8.91 million USDT, below its preceding 20-candle average near 9.63 million, leaving the initial rebound without stronger turnover in that final observation.
ETF withdrawals have left another source of demand weaker
The XRPSONAR ETF tracker recorded approximately $19.13 million in net outflows over the seven-day period ending November 13. Its daily table showed withdrawals of $10.42 million on November 9, $7.62 million on November 10 and $1.09 million on November 13.
Those three reported withdrawals add to approximately $19.13 million, with most of the amount occurring early in the week. The latest daily outflow was smaller, but it still left the reported period with net redemptions rather than new fund demand.
ETF shares allow brokerage investors to obtain exposure through a securities account. The price of those shares can change hands repeatedly between investors without every trade creating or redeeming a share, so trading volume and fund flows describe different activity.
The tracker listed approximately $22 million in ETF trading volume for November 13 alongside the roughly $1.09 million net withdrawal. Calling the full trading value an outflow would overstate the amount leaving the products.
The same caution applies to assets under management. The table showed combined assets of approximately $1.274 billion on November 9 and $1.152 billion on November 13, a decline of roughly $122 million between those observations.
The decline is much larger than the reported withdrawals because asset values also change with XRP’s price. It would be misleading to describe the entire fall in fund assets as investors redeeming that amount.
For scale, the week’s reported withdrawals equaled roughly 1.5% of the assets listed on November 9.
The withdrawal figures nevertheless matter to the forecast. A spot fund that is experiencing net redemptions is not supplying the same marginal buying as one receiving steady new subscriptions, even if the product continues to hold a large XRP balance.
The latest data also needs its trading date attached. November 15 is a Sunday, while the last completed US session in these figures is Friday, November 13; the lack of a Sunday fund-flow entry is not evidence that investors suddenly stopped withdrawing.
For the next trading week, renewed positive flows would add support to a recovery through $1. Another week of withdrawals would leave spot buyers elsewhere needing to absorb selling without that source of assistance.
One positive session would be an improvement from redemptions, but its size and persistence would determine its significance. The condition of the funds is best assessed through several completed sessions alongside the price, rather than by treating a single daily print as a verdict on institutional demand.
Bitcoin’s decline has kept XRP’s rebound under pressure
XRP’s loss of $1 has occurred during a retreat across major cryptocurrencies, rather than alongside strength in Bitcoin and Ethereum. The reference price page showed Bitcoin below $64,000 and Ethereum below $1,800 in its accompanying market snapshot.
The preceding November 14 Bitcoin report had already recorded trading near $67,200 after the loss of $68,000. Bitcoin was also below its 200-week average during that report’s still-open weekly candle.
The sequence matters because an XRP recovery has been taking place against continuing selling in the largest cryptocurrency. A trader reducing exposure across a portfolio may sell XRP regardless of whether Ripple has announced an additional product or customer relationship.
The November 13 producer-price release added to the macroeconomic context. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 0.3% monthly increase in October and a 6.5% annual rise, while cryptocurrency selling had begun before the announcement.
The timing prevents the inflation release from explaining every part of the decline. It remains relevant to expectations for borrowing costs and investors’ willingness to hold risk, alongside the price losses and fund withdrawals already occurring in the market.
For XRP, a more supportive setting would involve Bitcoin stabilizing while the token recovers its own lost levels. If Bitcoin continues making new short-term lows, the demand required to sustain an XRP rebound becomes harder to separate from temporary dip buying.
XRP can diverge from Bitcoin, especially around asset-specific developments. The argument for such a divergence is stronger when it appears in relative performance and actual buying, rather than being inferred from the existence of a favorable company announcement.
The next completed weekly candle will also provide a different observation from a midweek snapshot. A brief move below a long-term reference and a close beneath it are separate events, just as touching $1 in XRP would differ from reclaiming it for several sessions.
The price scenarios therefore depend on both XRP’s local levels and the conditions in which those levels are tested. A recovery attempted during calmer market trading would face a different immediate environment from another bounce during widespread liquidations.
Ripple’s business expansion has not stopped token selling
Ripple has continued adding regulated financial infrastructure while XRP has fallen. In its October 26 announcement, the company said it had received final OCC approval to establish Ripple National Trust Bank.
The approved activities described by Ripple include managing segregated reserves backing RLUSD, acting as collateral trustee and providing fiduciary digital-asset custody. The announcement said Standard Custody & Trust Company would remain the stablecoin’s issuer under New York supervision.
“A national trust charter gives us an even stronger foundation for RLUSD,” Brad Garlinghouse, Ripple’s chief executive, said in the release.
The distinction between the trust bank and RLUSD’s issuer is relevant to the XRP outlook because the announcement concerns specific businesses and services. It is not a commitment to purchase a stated quantity of XRP or a contractual promise of returns to token holders.
Ripple also announced a Robinhood partnership on October 27, covering RLUSD, treasury operations and institutional markets. The release said RLUSD was live on Robinhood Chain and Bitstamp by Robinhood, with availability in the Robinhood app expected later in the year.
It also described Robinhood using RLUSD on the XRP Ledger for institutional settlement. The arrangement establishes a stated use for the network, while the amount of XRP customers need to acquire depends on how the service is implemented and used.
A business can expand its custody, treasury and stablecoin offerings while the token trades lower for reasons arising in spot and derivatives markets. The company’s commercial progress and the coin’s immediate price are related subjects, but they do not produce matching daily results.
For a longer recovery, traders would need to see how the services affect token demand and liquidity. Customers acquiring XRP for payments or maintaining XRP balances would supply a more direct connection than an increase in activity carried out entirely in another asset.
The difference also affects timing. New infrastructure can take months to reach regular commercial use, while a leveraged position can be liquidated within a market session. A price forecast for the week ahead has to account for that mismatch.
Ripple’s announcements remain relevant to expectations for the ecosystem. The near-term test is whether those expectations translate into enough buying to recover $1 while existing holders and derivatives traders continue adjusting their exposure.
Ledger use and escrow affect XRP through different routes
The XRP Ledger requires XRP for transaction costs. Its transaction-cost documentation lists a standard minimum of 10 drops, equivalent to 0.00001 XRP, with higher requirements possible under load or for particular transaction types.
The fee is destroyed rather than paid to a validator. That creates a link between network activity and XRP supply, although the size of the fee matters when comparing this mechanism with trading and circulation measured in billions of tokens.
At the standard minimum, a hypothetical million ordinary transactions would destroy 10 XRP. It is a calculation of the stated fee, not a measurement of actual daily ledger activity, and illustrates why a large payment count does not automatically imply a large reduction in circulating supply.
Payment use can create a different need for XRP through liquidity. The ledger supports cross-currency payments, allowing the delivered asset to differ from the one supplied, with available paths and liquidity determining how an exchange is carried out.
Where XRP is used as a bridge, market makers need liquidity to complete the transaction. The value of payments routed through a service still differs from the amount users hold continuously, because the same inventory can facilitate more than one payment over time.
Stablecoin growth on the ledger consequently has several possible connections to XRP: transaction fees, account requirements, liquidity and any use of the coin within the actual payment route. The full stablecoin settlement value should not simply be treated as an equivalent XRP purchase.
Supply availability is another part of the price equation. Ripple’s original escrow explanation described time-based releases and the return of unused amounts to later escrows, distinguishing a gross release from the quantity actually brought into circulation.
The original design explains why an unlock headline cannot be read as an executed exchange sale. Establishing current selling would require following the released funds through subsequent transfers and transactions, rather than assuming every accessible coin was immediately offered at market.
The reference snapshot counted approximately 63.52 billion XRP in circulation against a maximum of 100 billion. Changes in available supply can affect the balance buyers face, while the route and timing of any sale determine how it reaches trading venues.
For the near-term forecast, the useful comparison is between actual buying, actual selling and liquidity at the levels under examination. Network activity and supply mechanisms contribute to that picture through identifiable channels, rather than each serving as an automatic price signal.
A recovery to $1.10 is different from a return to $2
At the reference price, recovering $1 would require roughly 5.7%, reaching $1.05 would require about 10.9% and reaching $1.10 would require approximately 16.2%. The sequence separates the first attempt to regain former support from a more substantial rebound.
Gate’s November 14 candle traded as high as approximately $1.0139 before closing near $0.9138. That completed session supplies a recent example of why crossing the dollar level during a day is less persuasive than maintaining it through the close.
The $1.05 area would recover part of the trading range seen earlier in the week. Beyond $1.10, the $1.13 reference on Ali’s earlier chart sits before the daily 20-day average calculated near $1.15.
A rebound into those areas would still need to contend with the larger trend. The daily 50-day average near $1.25 remains higher, so the first recovery should not be confused with undoing the entire decline.
At approximately 63.52 billion circulating XRP, a $1.10 price implies a market capitalization near $69.9 billion. At $0.80, the comparable value would be approximately $50.8 billion, compared with the reference capitalization near $60.1 billion.
Those are valuations calculated at unchanged circulating supply, not the cash required to cause the moves. Market capitalization applies the latest quotation to every circulating coin, while the money needed to execute an order depends on the available order book.
Two dollars would require XRP to more than double from the reference price, implying a gain of approximately 111.3% and a circulating capitalization near $127 billion. It belongs to a substantially larger recovery case than the first effort to regain $1.
The aggregate price page’s recorded high of $3.65 is farther away. Returning there from the reference price would require a gain of approximately 285.7%, with no basis in the current short-term chart for assigning that move to the coming week.
The latest completed US ETF session in the retrieved tracker is Friday, November 13, with the next regular trading week beginning Monday, November 16. NYSE’s core trading session runs from 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. Eastern Time.
What to Watch
- Dollar recovery: Whether XRP can sustain closes above 0.99–1 and defend that area on a retest, rather than merely cross it during an intraday bounce.
- Recent low: Trading around approximately 0.89–0.90, with a break leaving $0.85 as an intermediate round-number reference and $0.80 as the deeper bearish scenario.
- Leverage reset: Whether long liquidations ease while price stabilizes, and whether any recovery attracts spot buying alongside changes in open interest and funding.
- ETF demand: The next completed US fund sessions after November 13, including whether the roughly $19.13 million weekly withdrawal is followed by renewed subscriptions or further redemptions.
- Market conditions: Bitcoin’s ability to stabilize and XRP’s response at 1.05–1.10 if the first resistance area is recovered during the coming trading week.
FAQs
What is the XRP price prediction for today?
XRP is attempting to stabilize after trading below $1 and touching approximately $0.89. The first recovery area is 0.99–1, while the recent low remains the immediate downside test. The outlook improves if buyers regain that resistance and hold it, rather than briefly trade above it during a bounce.
Could XRP fall to $0.80 next?
Ali Charts identified $0.80 as a conditional downside level if support near $0.99 failed. XRP has since traded below that support, but buyers are still contesting the area around the recent $0.89 low. A move to $0.80 would represent another decline of roughly 15.5% from the reference price.
How high could XRP rebound during the coming week?
A sustained move back above $1 would put $1.05 and $1.10 in view, followed by the earlier chart reference near $1.13. Those are sequential recovery levels rather than guaranteed targets. The daily 20-day average remains near $1.15, leaving a larger trend hurdle above the first rebound areas.
Does an RSI near 16 mean XRP has bottomed?
The calculated daily RSI shows an extended run of losses and deeply oversold momentum. It does not identify the final low or require an immediate reversal. XRP had already been oversold earlier in the week before falling further, so price recovery and sustained buying remain important alongside the indicator.
What do the XRP liquidation figures mean?
CoinGlass recorded approximately $47.3 million in liquidations over the reference 24-hour period, with longs accounting for around 91%. Those forced closures show that bullish leveraged positions absorbed most of the reported damage. The figures do not describe every spot sale or establish how much selling remains after positions are closed.
Are US XRP ETFs still attracting money?
The retrieved tracker showed approximately $19.13 million in net withdrawals for the period ending November 13, rather than net subscriptions. Its latest daily entry was a withdrawal of roughly $1.09 million. New completed trading sessions are needed to determine whether fund demand improves after the weekend decline.
Why has Ripple’s expansion not prevented XRP from falling?
Ripple’s banking, custody and RLUSD announcements concern particular services and customers. Their effect on XRP depends on how those services use the token and whether users acquire it. Spot selling, fund redemptions and derivatives liquidations can affect the market immediately, while commercial adoption can develop over a longer period.
What would strengthen the case for a sustained XRP recovery?
Holding above $1, recovering the next resistance areas and seeing stronger spot demand would provide a firmer basis than an oversold bounce alone. Improving fund flows and less forced selling would add support, while renewed weakness below the recent low would undermine it. This is educational analysis, not investment advice.
Disclaimer: This article is for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Figures reflect regulatory filings and reporting available at the time of writing and change with each disclosure. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or asset. Always do your own research. Information is accurate as of November 15, 2026. Legal and tax questions should be discussed with qualified professionals.
