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The CFTC has ordered Kalshi to continue operating under federal rules as a Washington judge restricted seven contract categories and set two geofencing deadlines for the prediction market. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission said on Aug. 11 that it had…
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CFTC vs. New York: the prediction market emergency that could redraw federal-state crypto boundaries
On August 11, the CFTC invoked emergency powers for only the seventh time in its history to keep Kalshi running after New York filed a $36 billion lawsuit calling prediction contracts illegal gambling. The clash between federal derivatives law and…
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CFTC advisers will discuss crypto rules on Aug. 20 as CLARITY waits for a Sept. 15 Senate vote and the SEC cancels its crypto meeting.
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CFTC is reportedly reviewing prediction-market mention bets for manipulation risk as Kalshi removes sports versions while other categories stay live.
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The White House has reportedly planned an Aug. 19 meeting with crypto and prediction market executives as Polymarket traders place the CLARITY Act’s 2026 passage odds at 21%. White House meeting may address unresolved crypto disputes Politico reported on Aug.…
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The CFTC has scheduled a three-hour meeting for Aug. 20 to examine crypto assets, artificial intelligence, prediction markets, and its recent work across the three sectors. CFTC meeting will put crypto and AI policy on the agenda The Commodity Futures…
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The CFTC used emergency authority to override New York. Nine states have been sued. FlightAware added a data rights claim. The legal architecture of prediction markets is being built in courtrooms, not in Congress. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission does…
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CFTC invokes emergency powers to keep Kalshi operating as New York seeks at least $36 billion and broad restrictions on event contracts.
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Goliath Ventures faces SEC and CFTC lawsuits after its CEO pleaded guilty in a U.S. crypto fraud case involving at least $400 million.
Markets
Polymarket odds have collapsed from 82% to 16%. The Senate returns on September 14 with 14 working days, eight missing Democratic votes, and an ethics fight over a president who made $1.4 billion from crypto. If the bill dies, markets…
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A federal judge has paused the CFTC’s civil case against a US Army soldier accused of using classified information to earn more than $400,000 from Polymarket contracts tied to Nicolás Maduro’s removal. CFTC case paused until criminal proceedings conclude US…
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The CFTC has warned regulated prediction markets against displaying American-style gambling odds as state authorities intensify efforts to classify sports event contracts as unlicensed betting. CFTC warns prediction markets over odds displays The Commodity Futures Trading Commission instructed regulated prediction…
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CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said regulators must give financial innovation room to lead as the global derivatives market enters a new phase of development. Selig rejects restrictive derivatives rules Writing in The Economist, Selig argued that regulators should avoid importing…
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George Santos has settled CFTC case over Kalshi prediction market trades by accepting penalties and a three-year trading ban after regulators found he made misleading public statements while betting on his attendance at President Donald Trump’s State of the Union…
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New York filed the most aggressive state action against the prediction market industry two days after the Second Circuit denied Kalshi emergency relief on July 29. The suit arrived with a coordinated announcement from the AG and the Governor, counts…
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The state is seeking at least $36 billion in damages from the prediction market platform it calls an unlicensed gambling operation, and has filed for a temporary restraining order to halt its contracts immediately. The lawsuit that prediction markets knew…
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